Our paper “Exploring representativeness and reliability for late medieval earthquakes in Europe” was recently published by Natural Hazards.
Among other evidence, this paper eventually underlines that central Italy -the scenario of the 2016 Amatrice earthquake- was an area characterised by a high seismic risk since the late Middle Ages. An aspect which reminds us how relative are concepts such as local seismic culture, perception of risk, memorialisation of past disasters.
Please find below the abstract and the link to the paper in Natural Hazards.
Seismic catalogues of past earthquakes have compiled a substantial amount of information about historical seismicity for Europe and the Mediterranean. Using two of the most recent European seismic databases (AHEAD and EMEC), this paper employs GIS spatial analysis (kernel density estimation) to explore the representativeness and reliability of data captured for late medieval earthquakes. We identify those regions where the occurrence of earthquakes is significantly higher or lower than expected values and investigate possible reasons for these discrepancies. The nature of the seismic events themselves, the methodology employed during catalogue compilation and the availability of medieval written records are all briefly explored.